Although various resources such as equipment manufacturing and personnel training have made rapid progress in recent years, they have not kept pace with the urgent military style of the wind power industry. On the afternoon of August 7, just before the opening of the 29th Olympic Games, the newly formed national energy resources The Bureau held a meeting and Zhu Junsheng, director of the Renewable Energy Professional Committee of the China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association, was invited to attend.
In an interview with this reporter, the expert who participated in the drafting of the “Renewable Energy Lawâ€, the progress of renewable energy technologies, and agricultural development planning and organized the implementation revealed that the development of the wind power industry, including the medium and long-term talent strategy, became a reality. The focus of the day meeting discussion: "This means that the wind power industry will receive more policy support, and the big situation is very good!"
The world's largest wind power market, an old man who is nearly old, has used three “more and more†in succession to express his optimism for the wind power industry: the situation is more and more clear, policy support is increasingly perfect, and investment in wind power is increasingly certain. !
China has abundant wind resources and the development of wind power industry has a good resource base. According to statistics, China's inland and offshore wind resources can be exploited at 1 billion KW, mainly distributed on the southeast coast and nearby islands, the Hexi Corridor of Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Gansu, as well as parts of North China and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
Zhu Junsheng said that the promulgation and implementation of the "Renewable Energy Law" has provided legal protection for such abundant renewable energy sources. In recent years, the installed capacity of wind power has achieved rapid development, with an increase of more than 100% for two consecutive years. In 2005, the installed capacity of wind power in China reached 1.266 million KW, and in 2006 it reached 2.599 million KW, an increase of 105%. In 2007, the installed capacity of newly installed power was 3.30 million KW, an increase of 127%. The goal of “Eleventh Five-Year†wind power installation with 5 million KW was realized in advance three years in advance. .
It is reported that more than 100 wind farms have been built. The total installed capacity of wind power is more than 6 million kilowatt-hours, and it is expected to be around 10 million kilowatt-hours by the end of the year. Globally, China's wind power installed capacity has soared to fifth place. In addition, China has also formed the world's largest small fan industry and market, which has facilitated the development of rural electrification.
“It is undeniable that the rapid development of wind power equipment manufacturing industry has provided guarantee for the construction of wind farms!†said Zhu Junsheng. Including the domestic three major power groups, including power supply, Dongdian, Harbin, and military, aerospace, aviation, marine, weapons and railways, power transmission and transformation, and some powerful private enterprises competing to enter the wind power equipment manufacturing industry, the strength of the international The wind turbine manufacturers Suzlon, Westas, Gamesa, GE, and Nordex established wholly-owned plants in China. The joint-venture factories have Aerospace and Ruineng North.
According to incomplete statistics, there are more than 40 wind turbine manufacturers in China, of which more than 30 domestically. In 2007, the domestic equipment installed capacity accounted for 55.91%, for the first time exceeding foreign countries.
The “2007 China Wind Power Development Report†compiled by industry experts organized by the China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association’s Renewable Energy Professional Committee pointed out that China is expected to become the world’s largest wind power market.
The data provided in this report shows that, judging from the development situation in recent years, the target of achieving an installed capacity of 30 million KW in 2020 is promising. The long-term goal of wind power is that after 10-15 years of preparation, around 2020, wind power will be able to compete with other conventional energy generation technologies and become the third largest conventional power generation after thermal power and hydropower. At least 30 million KW installed capacity, and actively create conditions to achieve 100 million KW, accounting for the total installed power generation capacity of 8% -10%. In 2040 or 2050, 500 million KW and 800 million KW will be realized, which will account for more than 20% of the installed capacity of power generation and power generation.
The enticing prospects of staking their positions make various investors enter the game.
Zhu Junsheng said that with the advancement of wind power technology and increasing pressure on energy and environment, wind power is increasingly interested in investors as a clean energy source. The entrants include not only five major power generation companies but also foreign and private enterprises. For example, Longyuan Wind Power Co., Ltd. under the State Power Group has installed more than 1.6 million KW of wind power. Domestic private companies such as Sinovel and GCL have also invested in wind power. Big foreign financial groups also landed on the beach. In the future, wind power development will attract more capital investment.
Zhao Hao, general manager of Beijing China Carbon Balance Co., Ltd. believes that the five major power generation groups have obvious tendency to staking. He analyzed: “This is related to their living environment. According to the current situation, it does not rule out the possibility that the strong will swallow the weak, so they are desperately increasing investment, including wind power, to make the site as large as possible. Make it impossible for the other person to eat himself."
“Now the wind power projects launched, most of them submitted carbon emissions trading applications, hoping to solve the investment gap through the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism).†Zhao Wei analyzed, “We are seeing from the wind power project on CDM fanaticism The potential risk of this industry is to blindly enclose and quickly launch the project. The result will inevitably lead to disorderly industry competition and waste of resources!"
Yin Zhao, head of the energy group of the UnionPay Industry Research Department, said that the problem of lack of land for wind power projects needs to be solved urgently, which is most prominent in private enterprises. In areas where China's wind energy resources are abundant, many private enterprises have seen huge prospects for wind power and have invested money to occupy large sites of wind energy resources. However, the investment cost of wind turbines is too high, which ultimately makes these companies unable to open wind farms, and ultimately large areas of land are idle.
In the industry, wind power has the name of "garbage electricity," which means that the electricity is usually very unstable under the constraints of natural conditions. If the amount of wind power is excessive, it will cause great pressure on the power grid.
Zhao Hao believes that at present, China's electricity generated by wind energy is less than 1% of the total electricity, and China has abundant wind energy resources, and it is very promising to develop wind power. However, due to the lag of wind power equipment manufacturing technology in China and the existing problems of wind power stations, the construction of large-scale power plants with a capacity of 10 million KW cannot be rushed because the risk of grid collapse will always be faced. For example, the establishment of 10 million KW-class wind power bases in Jiuquan, Gansu, will inevitably result in a significant increase in the unstable electricity in the regional power grid.
Five major bottlenecks to be broken Zhu Junsheng explained to the reporter in detail the five major bottlenecks restricting the development of the wind power industry.
First, inadequate preparatory work results in unfavorable wind power projects and increased investment risks. In the construction of wind farms, preliminary preparations for some projects have not been fully carried out, especially before the resources and environment are clarified. Some incomplete or outdated data are used for scientific research, decision-making, project selection, and model selection. The gap between the results and expectations is large, resulting in poor investment efficiency, lack of competitiveness in electricity prices, and long-term investment losses, affecting investor confidence and enthusiasm.
Second, rebuilding light pipes, maintenance services can not keep up, equipment efficiency can not be fully realized. Pay attention to expanding the scale of construction, paying attention to how many million kilowatt-hours have been installed, ignoring actual power generation, pursuing performance, and ignoring benefits. After the completion of the project, the management and maintenance services could not keep up, and failures could not be dealt with in a timely manner, resulting in long-term shutdown maintenance and giving full play to the benefits.
“In the United States, the clothes of wind power maintenance workers have been designed and produced by specialized manufacturers, taking into full account the characteristics of the work they often climb up and down and the special requirements for the environment.†Zhu Junsheng cited such a simple example, “We also Far from taking into account such detail, let alone extend the development of the industry chain."
Thirdly, the new product will be put on a batch project if it is not strictly examined, resulting in waste. At present, there are more than 40 manufacturers of wind turbines in China, most of whom are eager to mass-produce the imported technology without careful digestion and absorption. Due to the rapid development of market demand for wind turbines, after the assembly of new products has not been strictly examined, companies have come to order. In order to occupy the market, production companies eager to expand the production volume, the project, the emergence of product quality problems continue to maintain, and some still need to repeatedly replace the replacement parts, a long time can not be normal operation, equipment efficiency is difficult to play, while causing a lot of human and material resources waste.
Fourth, repeated introduction, competition with the same level, increased risk. With the rapid development of the wind power industry, the market demand for wind turbines has grown rapidly. The powerful equipment manufacturing industry has rushed into the development of wind turbines. Newly-entered enterprises lacked experience and independent research and development capabilities and were eager to enter. Most of them were imported licenses, and many foreign counterparts were introduced, causing domestic companies to compete on the same level. If you do not work hard to digest and absorb innovations, companies will become passive and bring risks in the fierce competition.
Fifth, the development of key components is lagging behind. There are more than 40 R&D and production companies in China, producing dozens of models, which require a large number of high-quality components. The key components such as bearings, hydraulic components, and electrical controls are key components. It also needs a large amount of imports to become a bottleneck in the development of China's wind power industry and must be resolved. No high-quality parts can't produce high-quality units, and they can't support the rapid upgrading of the entire machine technology. Therefore, it is imperative to increase the manufacturing level of key parts and realize localization.
Zhu Junsheng pointed out that the current scale of development of wind power is still very small, and the difficulties faced by the departments in coordination are not very great. Under the current trend of reform of the government system, the actual conditions for setting up a special department are not available. However, the development of wind power involves many interest departments, and the wind power industry has a long industrial chain. The duties of power grids, power generation, meteorology, technology research and development, regulatory standards, equipment manufacturing and industrialization, which are closely related to wind energy development, are in the Renewable Energy Law. All are clearly defined, but there are separate plans, arrangements for funds, collaboration units, and support for key projects within the respective business areas of each department.
For example, the Ministry of Science and Technology has arranged wind energy technology research projects in the "863" and "973" project guides, and has increased funding every year. The National Natural Science Foundation has also arranged funds to support wind energy basic science research.
How to coordinate the interests of various departments and integrate the relevant resources of these departments to jointly contribute to the healthy and rapid development of the wind power industry is ambiguous in the framework of legal regulations. Therefore, as an important clean energy for the future, at the initial stage of development of wind power, it is necessary to establish an inter-departmental comprehensive coordination mechanism to create a good institutional environment for wind energy development as soon as possible so as to cope with the large-scale development of wind power in the future.
In an interview with this reporter, the expert who participated in the drafting of the “Renewable Energy Lawâ€, the progress of renewable energy technologies, and agricultural development planning and organized the implementation revealed that the development of the wind power industry, including the medium and long-term talent strategy, became a reality. The focus of the day meeting discussion: "This means that the wind power industry will receive more policy support, and the big situation is very good!"
The world's largest wind power market, an old man who is nearly old, has used three “more and more†in succession to express his optimism for the wind power industry: the situation is more and more clear, policy support is increasingly perfect, and investment in wind power is increasingly certain. !
China has abundant wind resources and the development of wind power industry has a good resource base. According to statistics, China's inland and offshore wind resources can be exploited at 1 billion KW, mainly distributed on the southeast coast and nearby islands, the Hexi Corridor of Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Gansu, as well as parts of North China and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
Zhu Junsheng said that the promulgation and implementation of the "Renewable Energy Law" has provided legal protection for such abundant renewable energy sources. In recent years, the installed capacity of wind power has achieved rapid development, with an increase of more than 100% for two consecutive years. In 2005, the installed capacity of wind power in China reached 1.266 million KW, and in 2006 it reached 2.599 million KW, an increase of 105%. In 2007, the installed capacity of newly installed power was 3.30 million KW, an increase of 127%. The goal of “Eleventh Five-Year†wind power installation with 5 million KW was realized in advance three years in advance. .
It is reported that more than 100 wind farms have been built. The total installed capacity of wind power is more than 6 million kilowatt-hours, and it is expected to be around 10 million kilowatt-hours by the end of the year. Globally, China's wind power installed capacity has soared to fifth place. In addition, China has also formed the world's largest small fan industry and market, which has facilitated the development of rural electrification.
“It is undeniable that the rapid development of wind power equipment manufacturing industry has provided guarantee for the construction of wind farms!†said Zhu Junsheng. Including the domestic three major power groups, including power supply, Dongdian, Harbin, and military, aerospace, aviation, marine, weapons and railways, power transmission and transformation, and some powerful private enterprises competing to enter the wind power equipment manufacturing industry, the strength of the international The wind turbine manufacturers Suzlon, Westas, Gamesa, GE, and Nordex established wholly-owned plants in China. The joint-venture factories have Aerospace and Ruineng North.
According to incomplete statistics, there are more than 40 wind turbine manufacturers in China, of which more than 30 domestically. In 2007, the domestic equipment installed capacity accounted for 55.91%, for the first time exceeding foreign countries.
The “2007 China Wind Power Development Report†compiled by industry experts organized by the China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association’s Renewable Energy Professional Committee pointed out that China is expected to become the world’s largest wind power market.
The data provided in this report shows that, judging from the development situation in recent years, the target of achieving an installed capacity of 30 million KW in 2020 is promising. The long-term goal of wind power is that after 10-15 years of preparation, around 2020, wind power will be able to compete with other conventional energy generation technologies and become the third largest conventional power generation after thermal power and hydropower. At least 30 million KW installed capacity, and actively create conditions to achieve 100 million KW, accounting for the total installed power generation capacity of 8% -10%. In 2040 or 2050, 500 million KW and 800 million KW will be realized, which will account for more than 20% of the installed capacity of power generation and power generation.
The enticing prospects of staking their positions make various investors enter the game.
Zhu Junsheng said that with the advancement of wind power technology and increasing pressure on energy and environment, wind power is increasingly interested in investors as a clean energy source. The entrants include not only five major power generation companies but also foreign and private enterprises. For example, Longyuan Wind Power Co., Ltd. under the State Power Group has installed more than 1.6 million KW of wind power. Domestic private companies such as Sinovel and GCL have also invested in wind power. Big foreign financial groups also landed on the beach. In the future, wind power development will attract more capital investment.
Zhao Hao, general manager of Beijing China Carbon Balance Co., Ltd. believes that the five major power generation groups have obvious tendency to staking. He analyzed: “This is related to their living environment. According to the current situation, it does not rule out the possibility that the strong will swallow the weak, so they are desperately increasing investment, including wind power, to make the site as large as possible. Make it impossible for the other person to eat himself."
“Now the wind power projects launched, most of them submitted carbon emissions trading applications, hoping to solve the investment gap through the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism).†Zhao Wei analyzed, “We are seeing from the wind power project on CDM fanaticism The potential risk of this industry is to blindly enclose and quickly launch the project. The result will inevitably lead to disorderly industry competition and waste of resources!"
Yin Zhao, head of the energy group of the UnionPay Industry Research Department, said that the problem of lack of land for wind power projects needs to be solved urgently, which is most prominent in private enterprises. In areas where China's wind energy resources are abundant, many private enterprises have seen huge prospects for wind power and have invested money to occupy large sites of wind energy resources. However, the investment cost of wind turbines is too high, which ultimately makes these companies unable to open wind farms, and ultimately large areas of land are idle.
In the industry, wind power has the name of "garbage electricity," which means that the electricity is usually very unstable under the constraints of natural conditions. If the amount of wind power is excessive, it will cause great pressure on the power grid.
Zhao Hao believes that at present, China's electricity generated by wind energy is less than 1% of the total electricity, and China has abundant wind energy resources, and it is very promising to develop wind power. However, due to the lag of wind power equipment manufacturing technology in China and the existing problems of wind power stations, the construction of large-scale power plants with a capacity of 10 million KW cannot be rushed because the risk of grid collapse will always be faced. For example, the establishment of 10 million KW-class wind power bases in Jiuquan, Gansu, will inevitably result in a significant increase in the unstable electricity in the regional power grid.
Five major bottlenecks to be broken Zhu Junsheng explained to the reporter in detail the five major bottlenecks restricting the development of the wind power industry.
First, inadequate preparatory work results in unfavorable wind power projects and increased investment risks. In the construction of wind farms, preliminary preparations for some projects have not been fully carried out, especially before the resources and environment are clarified. Some incomplete or outdated data are used for scientific research, decision-making, project selection, and model selection. The gap between the results and expectations is large, resulting in poor investment efficiency, lack of competitiveness in electricity prices, and long-term investment losses, affecting investor confidence and enthusiasm.
Second, rebuilding light pipes, maintenance services can not keep up, equipment efficiency can not be fully realized. Pay attention to expanding the scale of construction, paying attention to how many million kilowatt-hours have been installed, ignoring actual power generation, pursuing performance, and ignoring benefits. After the completion of the project, the management and maintenance services could not keep up, and failures could not be dealt with in a timely manner, resulting in long-term shutdown maintenance and giving full play to the benefits.
“In the United States, the clothes of wind power maintenance workers have been designed and produced by specialized manufacturers, taking into full account the characteristics of the work they often climb up and down and the special requirements for the environment.†Zhu Junsheng cited such a simple example, “We also Far from taking into account such detail, let alone extend the development of the industry chain."
Thirdly, the new product will be put on a batch project if it is not strictly examined, resulting in waste. At present, there are more than 40 manufacturers of wind turbines in China, most of whom are eager to mass-produce the imported technology without careful digestion and absorption. Due to the rapid development of market demand for wind turbines, after the assembly of new products has not been strictly examined, companies have come to order. In order to occupy the market, production companies eager to expand the production volume, the project, the emergence of product quality problems continue to maintain, and some still need to repeatedly replace the replacement parts, a long time can not be normal operation, equipment efficiency is difficult to play, while causing a lot of human and material resources waste.
Fourth, repeated introduction, competition with the same level, increased risk. With the rapid development of the wind power industry, the market demand for wind turbines has grown rapidly. The powerful equipment manufacturing industry has rushed into the development of wind turbines. Newly-entered enterprises lacked experience and independent research and development capabilities and were eager to enter. Most of them were imported licenses, and many foreign counterparts were introduced, causing domestic companies to compete on the same level. If you do not work hard to digest and absorb innovations, companies will become passive and bring risks in the fierce competition.
Fifth, the development of key components is lagging behind. There are more than 40 R&D and production companies in China, producing dozens of models, which require a large number of high-quality components. The key components such as bearings, hydraulic components, and electrical controls are key components. It also needs a large amount of imports to become a bottleneck in the development of China's wind power industry and must be resolved. No high-quality parts can't produce high-quality units, and they can't support the rapid upgrading of the entire machine technology. Therefore, it is imperative to increase the manufacturing level of key parts and realize localization.
Zhu Junsheng pointed out that the current scale of development of wind power is still very small, and the difficulties faced by the departments in coordination are not very great. Under the current trend of reform of the government system, the actual conditions for setting up a special department are not available. However, the development of wind power involves many interest departments, and the wind power industry has a long industrial chain. The duties of power grids, power generation, meteorology, technology research and development, regulatory standards, equipment manufacturing and industrialization, which are closely related to wind energy development, are in the Renewable Energy Law. All are clearly defined, but there are separate plans, arrangements for funds, collaboration units, and support for key projects within the respective business areas of each department.
For example, the Ministry of Science and Technology has arranged wind energy technology research projects in the "863" and "973" project guides, and has increased funding every year. The National Natural Science Foundation has also arranged funds to support wind energy basic science research.
How to coordinate the interests of various departments and integrate the relevant resources of these departments to jointly contribute to the healthy and rapid development of the wind power industry is ambiguous in the framework of legal regulations. Therefore, as an important clean energy for the future, at the initial stage of development of wind power, it is necessary to establish an inter-departmental comprehensive coordination mechanism to create a good institutional environment for wind energy development as soon as possible so as to cope with the large-scale development of wind power in the future.
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