Years, BMW, Audi, Mercedes-Benz and other car companies have announced their respective auto-pilot completion schedule. Some well-known auto parts giants have even begun to test self-driving cars on the roads in China.
“Although in many people's eyes, autopilot is still a long way from real life, but in fact many OEMs have planned to set the active safety device as standard for auto products starting from the second half of 2016.†November 6th Mr. Wang Zhan, the global vice president of Delphi's Electronics and Safety Division and president of Asia-Pacific Region, told the reporter that they have been very busy in the past two years. Almost all automotive OEMs are competing for active safety technology, and this technology is an important prerequisite for autonomous driving.
Active safety will write new CNCPA regulations
Unlike Google’s choice of an unmanned driving path, car companies generally believe that the market for automated driving is more promising. The only difference between autonomous driving and driverless driving is that the driver will always sit in the front seat of the car. This is the most important reason why car companies are willing to bet on this path.
In the eyes of motorists, Google’s drone program is more like a conspiracy to subvert the auto industry. In order to prevent IT companies like Google from suddenly overturning on a certain day, first-line car companies have begun to struggle with strength since last year. Trying to end Google’s dream with autopilot in advance.
So active safety technology related to autopilot is becoming the darling of car companies. According to a survey released by Gasgoo.com recently, nearly 31% of participants believe that the proportion of active safety products to be assembled by OEMs will be around 50% to 80% in the next five years. Delphi, which has an advantage in global automotive active safety technology, is now providing more and more vehicle manufacturers with solutions for active safety applications, and business growth has exceeded expectations.
“At present, the active safety assembly rate for some high-end cars is about 14%. We expect that the active safety market capacity of Chinese cars will increase threefold over the next five years, far more than other technologies.†Wang Zhan believes that the popularity of autopilot and consumers The requirements for automotive safety performance will be the main reason why active safety technology is widely used in the future.
According to statistics, in the category of traffic accidents, the percentage of rear-end traffic accidents accounted for 49%, and lane departures accounted for 27%. Among the death toll, pedestrians accounted for 31%. The results of relevant arguments from European agencies show that as long as the driver takes measures 0.5 seconds earlier at the time of danger, about 50% of road-related accidents will be avoided. In order to gain the valuable time of 0.5 seconds, at present, more and more car companies including Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, Volvo, Ford and Subaru have begun to introduce and load ESPs, adaptive cruise systems, off-track warning systems, and automatic emergency brakes. Active safety technologies such as systems and parking assistance systems.
According to Shen Junqiang, senior engineering manager of the Delphi China Technology R&D Center, some of the active security system test requirements will be reflected in the new version of CNCAP next year, and the specific implementation time of this version may be in 2018. For this reason, car companies including Volvo and Cadillac have already added active safety configurations to models that were mass-produced in 2018 to suit China's national conditions.
In fact, in the "2014~2017EuroNCAP" new regulations issued in Europe this year, the safety assistance project has been greatly strengthened. Vehicles that do not have safety assistance systems will not be able to obtain five-star assessment. After 2016, active safety products for pedestrians' automatic emergency braking will be officially listed as one of the evaluation indicators. So now for major car companies, the development and deployment of active safety products has become an irreversible technological development direction.
Semi-autopilot first landed
Now that the automotive industry has reached a consensus, all vehicles produced by OEMs must be equipped with active safety and entertainment system products. Otherwise, they cannot be used as a medium-to-high-end vehicle, and they cannot even become a mid-range vehicle.
However, this does not mean that all active safety technologies have the potential for mass production. Song Jian, a professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Automotive Technology, believes that only when the price of the active safety assistance system is controlled at 5% of the vehicle price can the technology be truly popularized.
“As far as I know, an automatic parking function will add about 100,000 yuan. If the active collision avoidance, active steering and other functions are fully equipped, the price of a car may be unaffordable for the average consumer. So active safety technology Prices can come a day early and the technology can be popularized one day soon.†Song Jian said.
In fact, autopilot is not as simple as most people think. It does not integrate some advanced active safety technologies into a new car. In fact, like unmanned driving, it requires the concerted cooperation of many factors such as the automobile manufacturing industry, government, and infrastructure to be finally realized. Nowadays, the environmental roads of most cities still have technically unsolvable problems for fully automated driving.
Currently, when Bosch announces its product plan for predictive pedestrian protection systems and construction of regional auxiliary systems, it is frankly stated that zero collision is still difficult to achieve within a short period of time. A simple example is that the predictive pedestrian protection system can capture pedestrian information through stereo cameras and radars, and this technology can already be used to collect information through other vehicles blocking the line of sight.
However, for a single pedestrian, some situations do not need to stop and only need to slow down to pass through. For multiple pedestrians, deceleration and braking can be used flexibly to avoid collisions. barrier.
"Although automatic driving is the future development trend, in the next two or three years, the protagonist of automotive products is not automatic driving, but semi-autonomous driving." Wang Zhan believes that when active safety and automotive intelligence break through cost bottlenecks, Large-scale mass production is just around the corner. Semi-automated driving with human intervention is most likely to happen. This also makes some smart and active safety technologies a step-by-step production target.
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