April 11, 2013 gasoline and diesel prices are not adjusted at all? Not surprisingly, the answer will be announced today. On April 10, 10 working days after the new refined oil pricing mechanism is operating, the performance of the first show under the new mechanism will be somewhat imperceptible. However, the new mechanism has clearly suppressed speculation.
On March 26, China adjusted the price adjustment mechanism for domestic refined oil products. Compared with the old mechanism, the current mechanism shortened the price adjustment period to 10 working days, canceled the upper and lower 4% limit, and adjusted the oil affiliation. At the same time, the National Development and Reform Commission also pointed out that in order to save social costs, when the price adjustment of gasoline and diesel is lower than 50 yuan per ton, no adjustment will be made and the cumulative or offset will be included in the next price adjustment. These changes have made domestic product oil prices more closely linked to international crude oil prices, and they are also more sensitive. The National Development and Reform Commission did not publish affiliated oil species, price adjustment formulas, and benchmark prices. As a result, various research institutions are uncertain about the timing and magnitude of price adjustments. At present, the mainstream voice believes that the time window for price adjustment will be met on April 10th, but there are still changes in the tone. On April 9, the upward adjustment window of the agency's previous forecast turned to be closed or reduced.
Treasure Island analyst Han Jingyuan pointed out that since the last price adjustment, the general trend of international crude oil has gone from rising to falling, and has gone up. As of yesterday, the price adjustment threshold of more than RMB 50/ton has not yet been met. Therefore, the current performance is temporarily suspended. status. Another research mechanism Zhongyu Information believes this time will not be adjusted. The agency estimates that the downward adjustment as of yesterday was only RMB 10/ton, which is lower than the price adjustment of RMB 50/ton. According to data released yesterday by the Xinhua News Agency’s oil price system, the change rate of the average price of a basket of crude oil on April 8 was 0.2%, and the probability of non-price adjustment was relatively high. Of course, the specific needs to look at the trend of international oil prices today, if the international oil prices have undergone drastic changes, it may also touch the price threshold.
Many analyses also pointed out that after the new refined oil pricing mechanism has been operating for a period of time, it has a significant inhibitory effect on domestic speculation. Han Jingyuan pointed out that in the past, the price adjustment cycle was long, and there were repeated shipments or rejections. After the introduction of the new mechanism, it largely suppressed the speculative arbitrage behavior of middlemen, and prompted the market to return to the trajectory dominated by fundamentals.
At present, the city gas station has a smaller discount. According to the oil customer network monitoring data, about 16% of the gas stations are currently in discounted sales, and the discount rate is between 0.03 yuan/liter to 0.7 yuan/liter.
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