In the past two years, the coking industry in China has experienced heavy losses and experienced unprecedented market changes. On the one hand, rapid development has been achieved, and the overall level of the industry has been improved. On the other hand, due to the rapid development, the coking industry is also facing a huge market risk, urgently requiring all parties to work together to overcome. This is the information that the reporter obtained from the 3rd China Coking Technology and Coke Market International Conference recently held.
The downstream driving the rapid development of the industry In 2004, the global steel production continued to grow. In particular, China's steel output exceeded 270 million tons, and the demand for coke in the international and domestic markets increased significantly. Driven strongly by the downstream, the coke market continued to prosper. China's coke production capacity, output, consumption, and prices all hit record highs. According to statistics, in 2004, global coke production reached 426.77 million tons, an increase of 9.29% over the previous year. China's coke production reached 208.7 million tons, an increase of 17.42% over the previous year; apparent consumption was 193.73 million tons, an increase of 18.82%; and exports were 15.01 million tons, an increase of 1.98%. In 2005, China's coke production and consumption continued to grow rapidly. From January to July, the output of coke was 12.961 million tons, an increase of 29.33% year-on-year; the apparent consumption was 118.64 million tons, an increase of 28.09%; the export was 8.24 million tons, an increase of 8.4%.
While the output has increased significantly, the coking industry's production scale and technical level have also been improved. In 2004, there were 38 companies with an output of over 1 million tons of coke, 68.18 million tons of coke, 41 production with a production of 500,000 to 1 million tons, and a total output of 28.10 million tons. In 2004, the output of coke increased by 32.14%, and a batch of soil coke devices was eliminated. The output of coke decreased by 23.59%. A large number of large and medium-sized modern machine coke ovens were completed and put into operation. By the end of June 2005, there were more than 60 6-meter coke ovens in the country with a capacity of over 35 million tons, and 7.63 meters x 2 large-scale coke ovens had been completed and put into operation; A batch of 4.3-meter tamping coke oven was completed and put into operation, the production capacity of ramming coke was over 35 million tons, and a 5.5-meter large tamping coke oven had been developed; a batch of CDQ units was completed and put into operation, and currently Twenty-six units were in operation, and the output of coke quenching reached 12 million tons. Twelve sets were under construction and the processing capacity reached 8 million tons.
Excessive expansion to increase market risk Coke market prices in 2004 high, export FOB price is an average of 276 US dollars, the highest in May increased to 450 US dollars. Huge profits have caused excessive investment and disorderly expansion of coke production companies. China's coke production capacity from the end of 2003 was less than 180 million tons, and rapidly expanded to the current more than 250 million tons. In 2005, the domestic steel industry entered a steady development with a slower growth rate. It is expected that the output of steel will increase by approximately 50 million tons, the demand for coke will increase by 17 million tons, and the demand for other industries such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals and machinery will increase by 3 million tons. The increase in demand is about 20 million tons, and the total demand for coke for the year is about 220 million tons. Due to the increase in coke prices in the international market in 2004, coke-exporting countries such as Russia, Poland, and Ukraine have all expanded production. The construction of new coke ovens in the major coke-importing countries such as the United States, Japan, and India has started one after another. At present, the demand for coke in China is not booming internationally. The country limits exports of 14 million tons. Although the country's coke industry was cleaned up and rectified, a batch of unqualified soil coke and modified coke were eliminated, some capacity and output were compressed, but the already-built coke production capacity has exceeded the market demand. If we add 80 million tons under construction, the excess capacity will become even more serious. Due to the rapid growth of production capacity, the coke market has rapidly changed from a seller's market last year to a buyer's market, and the market price has also dropped. In the first half of this year, the average FOB export price of coke fell to US$207.
In the past, due to the good coke efficiency, some coking enterprises focused on coke production. The processing and utilization of by-products such as tar and coke oven gas lags behind, resulting in waste of resources and serious pollution. The phenomenon of “focusing first and then focusing only on coke†is quite common, and the coke gas point skylight scene can be seen everywhere. According to statistics, China emits more than 30 billion cubic meters of gas every year, equivalent to two and a half years of gas supply for the first phase of the West-East Gas Transmission Project (12 billion cubic meters). In addition, the coke industry in China still has problems such as serious pollution, low industrial concentration, and structural imbalances, all of which need to be resolved step by step.
Integration of resources to take the road of sustainable development According to the current situation, the industry generally believes that the coking industry must integrate resources, in accordance with the construction of a conservation-oriented society, the development of circular economy requirements, and take the road of sustainable development. The first is to implement total control. In the case of severe excess production capacity, the construction of new coke ovens will no longer be arranged; in accordance with the requirements of industrial policies and relevant regulations, the production of coke and modified coke will be completely eliminated, and the pace of small machine coking will be accelerated. The second is to extend the coking industrial chain. Encourage enterprises to deepen the development of coal chemical industry and promote the upgrading of the coking industry. All coke ovens must be built as soon as possible to complete the recovery of chemical products, coal tar must be deep processing, coke oven gas must be comprehensive utilization, it is strictly prohibited to ignite emissions. The third is to increase industrial concentration. Encourage upstream and downstream alliances, support and guide steel companies to rely on commodity coke operations or mergers and acquisitions of existing coking capacity, and promote cooperation between coking companies. The fourth is to strengthen technological progress, and actively promote coking coking technology, blending coal coking technology, coal material humidity control technology and dry quenching coke technology, in order to improve product quality, and create conditions for broadening resources and carrying out comprehensive utilization. Fifth, continue to implement a stable and transparent export policy and play a good role in regulating exports. Sixth, we must strengthen self-discipline in the industry, balance supply and demand, stabilize market prices, and avoid ups and downs and vicious competition.
The downstream driving the rapid development of the industry In 2004, the global steel production continued to grow. In particular, China's steel output exceeded 270 million tons, and the demand for coke in the international and domestic markets increased significantly. Driven strongly by the downstream, the coke market continued to prosper. China's coke production capacity, output, consumption, and prices all hit record highs. According to statistics, in 2004, global coke production reached 426.77 million tons, an increase of 9.29% over the previous year. China's coke production reached 208.7 million tons, an increase of 17.42% over the previous year; apparent consumption was 193.73 million tons, an increase of 18.82%; and exports were 15.01 million tons, an increase of 1.98%. In 2005, China's coke production and consumption continued to grow rapidly. From January to July, the output of coke was 12.961 million tons, an increase of 29.33% year-on-year; the apparent consumption was 118.64 million tons, an increase of 28.09%; the export was 8.24 million tons, an increase of 8.4%.
While the output has increased significantly, the coking industry's production scale and technical level have also been improved. In 2004, there were 38 companies with an output of over 1 million tons of coke, 68.18 million tons of coke, 41 production with a production of 500,000 to 1 million tons, and a total output of 28.10 million tons. In 2004, the output of coke increased by 32.14%, and a batch of soil coke devices was eliminated. The output of coke decreased by 23.59%. A large number of large and medium-sized modern machine coke ovens were completed and put into operation. By the end of June 2005, there were more than 60 6-meter coke ovens in the country with a capacity of over 35 million tons, and 7.63 meters x 2 large-scale coke ovens had been completed and put into operation; A batch of 4.3-meter tamping coke oven was completed and put into operation, the production capacity of ramming coke was over 35 million tons, and a 5.5-meter large tamping coke oven had been developed; a batch of CDQ units was completed and put into operation, and currently Twenty-six units were in operation, and the output of coke quenching reached 12 million tons. Twelve sets were under construction and the processing capacity reached 8 million tons.
Excessive expansion to increase market risk Coke market prices in 2004 high, export FOB price is an average of 276 US dollars, the highest in May increased to 450 US dollars. Huge profits have caused excessive investment and disorderly expansion of coke production companies. China's coke production capacity from the end of 2003 was less than 180 million tons, and rapidly expanded to the current more than 250 million tons. In 2005, the domestic steel industry entered a steady development with a slower growth rate. It is expected that the output of steel will increase by approximately 50 million tons, the demand for coke will increase by 17 million tons, and the demand for other industries such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals and machinery will increase by 3 million tons. The increase in demand is about 20 million tons, and the total demand for coke for the year is about 220 million tons. Due to the increase in coke prices in the international market in 2004, coke-exporting countries such as Russia, Poland, and Ukraine have all expanded production. The construction of new coke ovens in the major coke-importing countries such as the United States, Japan, and India has started one after another. At present, the demand for coke in China is not booming internationally. The country limits exports of 14 million tons. Although the country's coke industry was cleaned up and rectified, a batch of unqualified soil coke and modified coke were eliminated, some capacity and output were compressed, but the already-built coke production capacity has exceeded the market demand. If we add 80 million tons under construction, the excess capacity will become even more serious. Due to the rapid growth of production capacity, the coke market has rapidly changed from a seller's market last year to a buyer's market, and the market price has also dropped. In the first half of this year, the average FOB export price of coke fell to US$207.
In the past, due to the good coke efficiency, some coking enterprises focused on coke production. The processing and utilization of by-products such as tar and coke oven gas lags behind, resulting in waste of resources and serious pollution. The phenomenon of “focusing first and then focusing only on coke†is quite common, and the coke gas point skylight scene can be seen everywhere. According to statistics, China emits more than 30 billion cubic meters of gas every year, equivalent to two and a half years of gas supply for the first phase of the West-East Gas Transmission Project (12 billion cubic meters). In addition, the coke industry in China still has problems such as serious pollution, low industrial concentration, and structural imbalances, all of which need to be resolved step by step.
Integration of resources to take the road of sustainable development According to the current situation, the industry generally believes that the coking industry must integrate resources, in accordance with the construction of a conservation-oriented society, the development of circular economy requirements, and take the road of sustainable development. The first is to implement total control. In the case of severe excess production capacity, the construction of new coke ovens will no longer be arranged; in accordance with the requirements of industrial policies and relevant regulations, the production of coke and modified coke will be completely eliminated, and the pace of small machine coking will be accelerated. The second is to extend the coking industrial chain. Encourage enterprises to deepen the development of coal chemical industry and promote the upgrading of the coking industry. All coke ovens must be built as soon as possible to complete the recovery of chemical products, coal tar must be deep processing, coke oven gas must be comprehensive utilization, it is strictly prohibited to ignite emissions. The third is to increase industrial concentration. Encourage upstream and downstream alliances, support and guide steel companies to rely on commodity coke operations or mergers and acquisitions of existing coking capacity, and promote cooperation between coking companies. The fourth is to strengthen technological progress, and actively promote coking coking technology, blending coal coking technology, coal material humidity control technology and dry quenching coke technology, in order to improve product quality, and create conditions for broadening resources and carrying out comprehensive utilization. Fifth, continue to implement a stable and transparent export policy and play a good role in regulating exports. Sixth, we must strengthen self-discipline in the industry, balance supply and demand, stabilize market prices, and avoid ups and downs and vicious competition.
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